Individual differences in seeking and avoiding threatening information under uncertainty
When assessing a potential threat - whether scanning luggage for an explosive device, reviewing code for malicious patterns, or reading body language for suspicious intent - security and intelligence professionals must constantly decide whether to seek out more information or act on what they already know. But what drives those decisions, and why do individuals differ in how they make them?
Dr. Dorfman's research investigates how people decide to approach or avoid threatening information under conditions of uncertainty, and why this tendency varies across individuals and contexts. In high-threat environments, these decisions can become systematically biased, causing personnel to miss critical risk information or over-rely on prior assumptions. Her theoretical model proposes that decisions to seek or avoid threatening information reflect a trade-off between two competing drives: reducing uncertainty by gathering more information, versus reducing exposure to negative outcomes by avoiding it. A novel behavioural task tests this model, in which participants make real-time decisions about whether to seek or avoid information in threatening versus safe contexts. Using pupillometry as a physiological readout of emotional arousal, eye gaze to assess attentional dynamics, and a computational model to predict decision-making, we can precisely quantify individual differences in how people weight uncertainty against potential threat.
Findings from this project illuminate how emotional states and cognitive biases interact to shape high-stakes decision-making, with direct implications for training security, defence, and intelligence personnel to recognise and mitigate information avoidance biases in the field.
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